Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/08, 02:15
Prediction: CA Tigre vs Belgrano
Team pages: CA Tigre · Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.78Total
CA Tigre0.92
Belgrano0.86
1X2
CA Tigre
Draw
Belgrano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Tigre
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Belgrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Tigre
1–4–1
Belgrano
(6 last)
- Belgrano1-1CA Tigre
- Belgrano0-0CA Tigre
- CA Tigre0-0Belgrano
- CA Tigre1-1Belgrano
- CA Tigre1-4Belgrano
- Belgrano0-3CA Tigre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Tigre 1506 · Belgrano 1547
| CA Tigre | Draw | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 36% | 30% |
| Market | 34% | 34% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.78 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1506 vs 1547).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Tigre | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Tigre 1–4–1 Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 04/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 23/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 14/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 29/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Belgrano |
| 07/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-3 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlético Tucumán | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Huracan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Gimnasia LP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | CA Tigre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sarmiento | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | River Plate | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Tigre | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 07/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/05 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Tigre vs Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: CA Tigre 34%, draw 35%, Belgrano 31%.
How many goals are expected in CA Tigre vs Belgrano?
The model expects 1.78 goals (CA Tigre 0.92 · Belgrano 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Tigre vs Belgrano?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.