Prediction: Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra

Team pages: Newell's · Deportivo Riestra

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Newell's1.29
Deportivo Riestra0.83
1X2
46% 32% 22%
Newell's Draw Deportivo Riestra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWDDWDLD
Deportivo Riestra 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLDDWLLW
Head-to-head
Newell's 1–2–0 Deportivo Riestra (3 last)
  • Deportivo Riestra1-1Newell's
  • Deportivo Riestra3-3Newell's
  • Deportivo Riestra0-1Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Newell's 1504 · Deportivo Riestra 1482
Newell'sDrawDeportivo Riestra
Our model46%31%23%
Market45%32%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Newell'sDeportivo Riestra
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.42.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.25.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's 120 Deportivo Riestra

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/02/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra1-1
HT 1-0
Newell's
27/09/24
Argentina Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra3-3
HT 2-2
Newell's
16/05/24
Argentina Cup
Deportivo Riestra0-1
HT 0-1
Newell's

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Velez Sarsfield 4310 6210
2 Instituto AC Cordoba 4301 429
3 Deportivo Riestra 4202 636
4 CA Independiente 4202 326
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 4202 326
6 Boca Juniors 4121 465
7 Newell's 3111 334
8 Union Santa Fe 3111 454
9 Defensa y Justicia 3111 354
10 Platense 4112 484
11 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3102 543
12 Lanus 3102 233
13 San Lorenzo 3102 123
14 Estudiantes LP 4103 353
15 Central Cordoba 3102 133

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNewell'sDeportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors 2-2 D 3-0 W
San Lorenzo 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Riestra (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newell's

LWDWDDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 2-2 55 D
31/07 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-1 25 L
30/07 Leones de Rosario
Argentina Copa Santa Fe
0-1 1-1 412 D
25/07 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 83 W
05/05 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-1 47 D
26/04 Instituto AC Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-1 48 D
18/04 Union Santa Fe
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-1 3-2 46 W
12/04 San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 36 D
06/04 Central Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 3-1 24 W
30/03 Acassuso
Argentina Cup
0-1 0-2 84 L

Deportivo Riestra

WDLLDDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 27 W
02/08 Barracas Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 54 L
29/07 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-2 36 L
27/07 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
3-0 3-0 23 W
17/07 San Lorenzo
Argentina Cup
0-1 1-1 27 D
27/05 Palestino
Copa Sudamericana
1-1 1-1 75 D
20/05 Torque
Copa Sudamericana
0-2 1-4 86 L
06/05 Gremio
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 0-3 64 L
02/05 Lanus
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 75 D
30/04 Torque
Copa Sudamericana
2-1 2-1 37 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Newell's win (46%). Probabilities: Newell's 46%, draw 32%, Deportivo Riestra 22%.

How many goals are expected in Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Newell's 1.29 · Deportivo Riestra 0.83), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Newell's vs Deportivo Riestra?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.