Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 15/08, 19:30
Prediction: Aldosivi vs CA Tigre
Team pages: Aldosivi · CA Tigre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Aldosivi0.92
CA Tigre0.92
1X2
Aldosivi
Draw
CA Tigre
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Aldosivi
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
CA Tigre
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aldosivi
1–5
CA Tigre
(6 last)
- CA Tigre1-0Aldosivi
- CA Tigre2-0Aldosivi
- Aldosivi0-2CA Tigre
- CA Tigre3-0Aldosivi
- Aldosivi1-0CA Tigre
- Aldosivi0-2CA Tigre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aldosivi 1446 · CA Tigre 1541
| Aldosivi | Draw | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 32% | 35% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Tigre (rating 1446 vs 1541).
- H2H favours CA Tigre: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aldosivi | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldosivi 1–0–5 CA Tigre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
| 21/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Aldosivi |
| 09/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CA Tigre |
| 01/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Aldosivi |
| 12/03/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Tigre |
| 02/09/18 Argentina Superliga | Aldosivi | 0-2 HT 0-2 | CA Tigre |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | CA Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aldosivi | CA Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Racing Club | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Belgrano | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aldosivi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/07 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
CA Tigre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Nacional De Football Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 07/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aldosivi vs CA Tigre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Aldosivi 32%, draw 35%, CA Tigre 32%.
How many goals are expected in Aldosivi vs CA Tigre?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Aldosivi 0.92 · CA Tigre 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs CA Tigre?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.