Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 15/08, 21:45
Prediction: Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP
Team pages: Estudiantes LP · Gimnasia LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.69Total
Estudiantes LP1.05
Gimnasia LP0.65
1X2
Estudiantes LP
Draw
Gimnasia LP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Estudiantes LP
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Estudiantes LP
3–3–0
Gimnasia LP
(6 last)
- Gimnasia LP0-0Estudiantes LP
- Gimnasia LP0-1Estudiantes LP
- Estudiantes LP2-0Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP1-1Estudiantes LP
- Estudiantes LP4-1Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP0-0Estudiantes LP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Estudiantes LP 1520 · Gimnasia LP 1561
| Estudiantes LP | Draw | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 36% | 21% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.69 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia LP (rating 1520 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Estudiantes LP: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Estudiantes LP | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Estudiantes LP 3–3–0 Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 08/12/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 19/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 13/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 28/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 25/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes LP |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | CA Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Estudiantes LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Cusco FC Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | Acassuso Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Estudiantes LP win (45%). Probabilities: Estudiantes LP 45%, draw 33%, Gimnasia LP 22%.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP?
The model expects 1.69 goals (Estudiantes LP 1.05 · Gimnasia LP 0.65), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Estudiantes LP vs Gimnasia LP?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.