Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 16/08, 02:15
Prediction: Platense vs Boca Juniors
Team pages: Platense · Boca Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Platense0.81
Boca Juniors1.11
1X2
Platense
Draw
Boca Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Platense
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Platense
1–2–3
Boca Juniors
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors0-0Platense
- Platense1-0Boca Juniors
- Platense0-0Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors3-1Platense
- Boca Juniors3-1Platense
- Boca Juniors2-1Platense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Platense 1478 · Boca Juniors 1528
| Platense | Draw | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 34% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 33% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1478 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Platense | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Platense 1–2–3 Boca Juniors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 27/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 19/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Platense |
| 19/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Platense |
| 07/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Platense |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Riestra | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Newell's | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Platense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Estudiantes LP | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Corinthians Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Penarol Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Boca Juniors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Athletico Paranaense America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Platense vs Boca Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors win (41%). Probabilities: Platense 25%, draw 33%, Boca Juniors 41%.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Boca Juniors?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Platense 0.81 · Boca Juniors 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Platense vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.