Football · Poland III Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs Wieczysta Krakow II

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · Wieczysta Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Wisloka Debica1.7

Wieczysta Krakow II1.24

1X2

48% 25% 27%

Wisloka Debica Draw Wieczysta Krakow II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Wieczysta Krakow II 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1472 · Wieczysta Krakow II 1501

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	Wieczysta Krakow II
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	Wieczysta Krakow II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +7’	1.85	3.75	3.20
22:22 +5’	2.38▲	3.60▼	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
4	Wisla Krakow II	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Wisloka Debica	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Hetman Zamosc	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
8	Moravia Morawica	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	Czarni Polaniec	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4	2	0	2	9	11	6
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	JKS Jaroslaw	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
15	Star Starachowice	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
16	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
17	Korona Kielce II	4	0	1	3	9	12	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	Wieczysta Krakow II
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-1 W	1-1 D
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	2-1 W
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wisloka Debica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
02/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/07	Widzew Lodz II Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-5	8	2	L
11/07	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
08/07	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
30/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
16/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	6	1	D

Wieczysta Krakow II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
15/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
08/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	11	7	L
02/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
26/07	Hutnik Krakow II Europe Friendlies	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
07/06	Pcimianka Pcim Poland IV Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
27/05	Unia Tarnow Poland IV Liga	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
16/05	Metal Tarnow Poland IV Liga	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
10/05	Luban Maniowy Poland IV Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
25/04	Dalin Myslenice Poland IV Liga	0-0	1-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisloka Debica win (48%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 48%, draw 25%, Wieczysta Krakow II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Wisloka Debica 1.7 · Wieczysta Krakow II 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.