Football · Poland III Liga · 03/10, 12:00

Prediction: Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Wieczysta Krakow II · Wislanie Jaskowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Wieczysta Krakow II1.28

Wislanie Jaskowice1.34

1X2

35% 27% 38%

Wieczysta Krakow II Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wieczysta Krakow II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Wislanie Jaskowice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wieczysta Krakow II 1457 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1519

	Wieczysta Krakow II	Draw	Wislanie Jaskowice
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wislanie Jaskowice (rating 1457 vs 1519).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wieczysta Krakow II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 6.3	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:03 +5’	2.50	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	10	8	2	0	16	3	26
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	10	5	4	1	15	8	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	10	6	1	3	17	15	19
4	Wisloka Debica	10	6	1	3	14	12	19
5	JKS Jaroslaw	10	5	2	3	26	17	17
6	Wislanie Jaskowice	10	5	2	3	15	10	17
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	10	5	2	3	24	20	17
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
9	Hetman Zamosc	10	3	4	3	18	18	13
10	Wisla Krakow II	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	10	2	6	2	10	10	12
12	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
13	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
14	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	10	3	2	5	14	21	11
15	Korona Kielce II	10	2	2	6	21	26	8
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	10	2	2	6	9	14	8
17	Moravia Morawica	10	2	1	7	11	20	7
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	10	2	1	7	10	19	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wieczysta Krakow II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Wisloka Debica	3-0 W	1-2 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-1 D	1-1 D
JKS Jaroslaw	2-1 W	3-1 W
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-3 L	1-2 L
Czarni Polaniec	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wislanie Jaskowice (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wieczysta Krakow II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
19/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
05/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
29/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
15/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
08/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	11	7	L
02/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Wislanie Jaskowice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wislanie Jaskowice win (38%). Probabilities: Wieczysta Krakow II 35%, draw 27%, Wislanie Jaskowice 38%.

How many goals are expected in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Wieczysta Krakow II 1.28 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wieczysta Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.