Football · Poland III Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Moravia Morawica vs Wisloka Debica

Team pages: Moravia Morawica · Wisloka Debica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Moravia Morawica1.35

Wisloka Debica1.63

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Moravia Morawica Draw Wisloka Debica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Moravia Morawica 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Wisloka Debica 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisloka Debica (rating 1448 vs 1545).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Moravia Morawica	Wisloka Debica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.86

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.99 → 2.99	Pinn 2.99
X	3.26 → 3.26	Pinn 3.26
2	2.06 → 2.06	Pinn 2.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +50’	2.99	3.26	2.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18	5	27
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27	20	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
9	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17	21	14
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
12	Wisla Krakow II	11	3	4	4	13	16	13
13	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23	27	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10	14	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13	22	8
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Moravia Morawica	Wisloka Debica
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-2 D	2-1 W
JKS Jaroslaw	2-2 D	3-1 W
Chelmianka Chelm	0-3 L	1-2 L
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moravia Morawica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
27/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
19/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
05/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
22/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
15/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	1	3	W

Wisloka Debica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moravia Morawica vs Wisloka Debica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wisloka Debica win (43%). Probabilities: Moravia Morawica 31%, draw 26%, Wisloka Debica 43%.

How many goals are expected in Moravia Morawica vs Wisloka Debica?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Moravia Morawica 1.35 · Wisloka Debica 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Moravia Morawica vs Wisloka Debica?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.