Football · Poland III Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: JKS Jaroslaw vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Team pages: JKS Jaroslaw · Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
JKS Jaroslaw1.7
Podlasie Biala Podlaska1.66
1X2
38% 25% 37%
JKS Jaroslaw Draw Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JKS Jaroslaw 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWDLWDLLW
Podlasie Biala Podlaska 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDLWLDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JKS Jaroslaw 1526 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1545
JKS JaroslawDrawPodlasie Biala Podlaska
Our model38%25%37%
Market39%24%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JKS JaroslawPodlasie Biala Podlaska
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.62.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.51.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.33.3 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.23.3 / 0.3

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 4400 8112
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 4310 8310
3 KSZO Ostrowiec 4220 648
4 Wisla Krakow II 4211 867
5 Wisloka Debica 4211 757
6 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 4211 537
7 Hetman Zamosc 4130 746
8 Moravia Morawica 4202 676
9 Czarni Polaniec 4202 456
10 Naprzod Jedrzejow 4202 9116
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4112 664
12 JKS Jaroslaw 4112 784
13 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 4112 684
14 Wieczysta Krakow II 4112 584
15 Star Starachowice 4112 474
16 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 4022 472
17 Korona Kielce II 4013 9121
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 4013 261

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JKS Jaroslaw

WWWDLWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Poland III Liga
0-1 3-1 34 W
15/08 Wieczysta Krakow II
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-2 103 L
08/08 Wisloka Debica
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-3 95 L
01/08 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 43 D
25/07 Moravia Morawica
Europe Friendlies
2-0 3-2 71 W
23/07 Puszcza Niepolomice
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-2 43 L
17/07 Stal Mielec
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 30 D
11/06 Karpaty Krosno
Poland IV Liga
0-1 3-1 42 W
30/05 Polonia Przemysl
Poland IV Liga
3-0 3-1 61 W
15/05 KS Wiazownica
Poland IV Liga
2-0 5-0 30 W

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

WWDDLWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 W
15/08 Czarni Polaniec
Poland III Liga
2-0 2-0 W
07/08 Hetman Zamosc
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 D
02/08 KSZO Ostrowiec
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-1 L
10/07 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
Europe Friendlies
2-1 5-1 90 W
30/05 Wisla Krakow II
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-3 L
23/05 Star Starachowice
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-1 57 D
16/05 Stal Krasnik
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-1 D
13/05 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Poland III Liga
3-0 5-0 W
08/05 Swidniczanka Swidnik
Poland III Liga
0-0 3-0 84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JKS Jaroslaw vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JKS Jaroslaw win (38%). Probabilities: JKS Jaroslaw 38%, draw 25%, Podlasie Biala Podlaska 37%.

How many goals are expected in JKS Jaroslaw vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model expects 3.36 goals (JKS Jaroslaw 1.7 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1.66), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in JKS Jaroslaw vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.