Prediction: Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun
Team pages: Grom Nowy Staw · Elana Torun
| Grom Nowy Staw | Draw | Elana Torun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grom Nowy Staw (rating 1579 vs 1425).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grom Nowy Staw | Elana Torun | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisloka Debica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelmianka Chelm | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Moravia Morawica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | JKS Jaroslaw | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Star Starachowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grom Nowy Staw | Elana Torun |
|---|---|---|
| Notec Czarnkow | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Unia Swarzedz | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Gedania Gdansk | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Grom Nowy Staw (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grom Nowy Staw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | KTS-K Luzino Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Polonia Chodziez Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 17/06 | Pogon Mogilno Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Powisle Dzierzgon Poland IV Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Gedania Gdansk Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Gryf Wejherowo Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Stolem Gniewino Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
Elana Torun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Unia Wabrzezno Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tluchowia Tluchowo Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Pogon Szczecin II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grom Nowy Staw win (41%). Probabilities: Grom Nowy Staw 41%, draw 26%, Elana Torun 33%.
How many goals are expected in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?
The model expects 3 goals (Grom Nowy Staw 1.58 · Elana Torun 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

