Football · Poland III Liga · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun

Team pages: Grom Nowy Staw · Elana Torun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Grom Nowy Staw1.58
Elana Torun1.41
1X2
41% 26% 33%
Grom Nowy Staw Draw Elana Torun
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grom Nowy Staw 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWDWWLW
Elana Torun 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLWDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grom Nowy Staw 1579 · Elana Torun 1425
Grom Nowy StawDrawElana Torun
Our model41%26%33%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grom Nowy Staw (rating 1579 vs 1425).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Grom Nowy StawElana Torun
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.61 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.41.6 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.11.8 / 0.2

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
2 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
3 Wislanie Jaskowice 2200 406
4 Wisla Krakow II 2200 636
5 Czarni Polaniec 2200 416
6 Chelmianka Chelm 2200 306
7 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 2110 424
8 Moravia Morawica 2101 223
9 Naprzod Jedrzejow 2101 563
10 Hetman Zamosc 2020 222
11 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2011 121
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2011 121
13 JKS Jaroslaw 2011 351
14 Star Starachowice 2011 241
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
17 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 2002 030
18 Wieczysta Krakow II 2002 260

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrom Nowy StawElana Torun
Notec Czarnkow 2-0 W 0-3 L
Unia Swarzedz 2-3 L 0-4 L
Gedania Gdansk 2-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grom Nowy Staw (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grom Nowy Staw

DWWWWDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-0 W
01/08 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-3 33 L
10/07 KTS-K Luzino
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 61 W
21/06 Polonia Chodziez
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 49 W
17/06 Pogon Mogilno
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D
31/05 Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-1 24 W
23/05 Powisle Dzierzgon
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-1 113 W
09/05 Gedania Gdansk
Poland IV Liga
0-0 2-1 35 W
01/05 Gryf Wejherowo
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 57 W
18/04 Stolem Gniewino
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 39 D

Elana Torun

DLLLLLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 72 D
01/08 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 93 D
04/07 Unia Wabrzezno
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 61 W
30/05 Tluchowia Tluchowo
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-5 L
23/05 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
0-3 0-3 01 L
17/05 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-4 10 L
13/05 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-4 13 L
09/05 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-3 73 L
01/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-3 22 L
25/04 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 13 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grom Nowy Staw win (41%). Probabilities: Grom Nowy Staw 41%, draw 26%, Elana Torun 33%.

How many goals are expected in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?

The model expects 3 goals (Grom Nowy Staw 1.58 · Elana Torun 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Grom Nowy Staw vs Elana Torun?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.