Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Unia Swarzedz vs KTS-K Luzino

Team pages: Unia Swarzedz · KTS-K Luzino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Unia Swarzedz1.46
KTS-K Luzino2.22
1X2
24% 22% 54%
Unia Swarzedz Draw KTS-K Luzino
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Unia Swarzedz 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWLLDL
KTS-K Luzino 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Unia Swarzedz 2–1–1 KTS-K Luzino (4 last)
  • KTS-K Luzino3-0Unia Swarzedz
  • Unia Swarzedz1-1KTS-K Luzino
  • KTS-K Luzino1-2Unia Swarzedz
  • Unia Swarzedz2-1KTS-K Luzino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unia Swarzedz 1459 · KTS-K Luzino 1539
Unia SwarzedzDrawKTS-K Luzino
Our model24%22%54%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTS-K Luzino (rating 1459 vs 1539).
  • H2H favours Unia Swarzedz: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Unia SwarzedzKTS-K Luzino
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.12.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.81.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 7.21.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Unia Swarzedz 211 KTS-K Luzino

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/11/25
Poland III Liga
KTS-K Luzino3-0
HT 1-0
Unia Swarzedz
08/08/25
Poland III Liga
Unia Swarzedz1-1
HT 1-0
KTS-K Luzino
01/05/24
Poland III Liga
KTS-K Luzino1-2
HT 1-1
Unia Swarzedz
07/10/23
Poland III Liga
Unia Swarzedz2-1
HT 0-0
KTS-K Luzino

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 8710 14222
2 KSZO Ostrowiec 8530 14618
3 Czarni Polaniec 8602 14918
4 Wislanie Jaskowice 8512 13716
5 JKS Jaroslaw 8413 191313
6 Wisloka Debica 8413 111113
7 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 8323 10911
8 Wisla Krakow II 8323 9911
9 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 8323 7711
10 Naprzod Jedrzejow 8323 151711
11 Hetman Zamosc 8233 13149
12 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 8152 898
13 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 8224 11168
14 Wieczysta Krakow II 8215 9137
15 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 8215 8137
16 Star Starachowice 8134 7146
17 Moravia Morawica 8206 8166
18 Korona Kielce II 8125 20255

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnia SwarzedzKTS-K Luzino
Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 L 3-2 W
Grom Nowy Staw 3-2 W 5-1 W
Lipno Steszew 3-4 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KTS-K Luzino (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unia Swarzedz

WLWLLWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-4 65 L
04/09 Lech Poznan II
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 93 D
28/08 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-2 75 L
23/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 L
19/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-2 3-2 56 W
14/08 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-3 83 L
09/08 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 135 L
01/08 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-2 63 W
30/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-4 73 L
23/05 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
Poland III Liga
3-0 3-1 44 W

KTS-K Luzino

WLWDWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
2-0 5-1 20 W
05/09 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-0 84 W
28/08 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-1 75 W
23/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 L
19/08 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-1 W
14/08 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-1 35 W
09/08 Baltyk Koszalin
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 44 D
01/08 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Poland III Liga
2-1 6-2 51 W
03/06 KSZO Ostrowiec
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 13 L
30/05 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unia Swarzedz vs KTS-K Luzino?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KTS-K Luzino win (54%). Probabilities: Unia Swarzedz 24%, draw 22%, KTS-K Luzino 54%.

How many goals are expected in Unia Swarzedz vs KTS-K Luzino?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Unia Swarzedz 1.46 · KTS-K Luzino 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Unia Swarzedz vs KTS-K Luzino?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.