Football · Poland III Liga · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Wda Swiecie vs Kluczevia Stargard

Team pages: Wda Swiecie · Kluczevia Stargard

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Wda Swiecie1.79

Kluczevia Stargard1.78

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Wda Swiecie Draw Kluczevia Stargard

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Wda Swiecie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWWWWD

Kluczevia Stargard 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Wda Swiecie 0–2–0 Kluczevia Stargard (2 last)

Wda Swiecie1-1Kluczevia Stargard
Kluczevia Stargard0-0Wda Swiecie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wda Swiecie 1540 · Kluczevia Stargard 1532

	Wda Swiecie	Draw	Kluczevia Stargard
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wda Swiecie	Kluczevia Stargard
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	3.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +4’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wda Swiecie 0–2–0 Kluczevia Stargard

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland III Liga	Wda Swiecie	1-1 HT 1-0	Kluczevia Stargard
27/08/25 Poland III Liga	Kluczevia Stargard	0-0 HT 0-0	Wda Swiecie

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	8	7	1	0	14	2	22
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	8	5	3	0	14	6	18
3	Czarni Polaniec	8	6	0	2	14	9	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	8	5	1	2	13	7	16
5	JKS Jaroslaw	8	4	1	3	19	13	13
6	Wisloka Debica	8	4	1	3	11	11	13
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
8	Wisla Krakow II	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
9	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	8	3	2	3	15	17	11
11	Hetman Zamosc	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	8	1	5	2	8	9	8
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	8	2	1	5	9	13	7
15	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	8	2	1	5	8	13	7
16	Star Starachowice	8	1	3	4	7	14	6
17	Moravia Morawica	8	2	0	6	8	16	6
18	Korona Kielce II	8	1	2	5	20	25	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wda Swiecie	Kluczevia Stargard
Elana Torun	2-1 W	2-1 W
Notec Czarnkow	2-1 W	1-3 L
Unia Swarzedz	1-0 W	2-0 W
Grom Nowy Staw	4-2 W	4-3 W
Gedania Gdansk	1-1 D	2-2 D
Lipno Steszew	2-1 W	4-1 W
Blekitni Stargard	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kluczevia Stargard (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wda Swiecie

LLDWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
04/09	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	10	7	W
28/08	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
23/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	1-2	4-2	7	6	W
15/08	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
01/08	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
30/05	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
24/05	Pogon Szczecin II Poland III Liga	0-6	1-13	1	2	L

Kluczevia Stargard

LLDWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
05/09	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
28/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
23/08	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
19/08	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-2	2-2	3	7	D
15/08	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	9	1	W
08/08	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
01/08	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	0-1	3-3	3	5	D
30/05	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	3	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wda Swiecie vs Kluczevia Stargard?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wda Swiecie win (38%). Probabilities: Wda Swiecie 38%, draw 24%, Kluczevia Stargard 38%.

How many goals are expected in Wda Swiecie vs Kluczevia Stargard?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Wda Swiecie 1.79 · Kluczevia Stargard 1.78), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wda Swiecie vs Kluczevia Stargard?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.