Football · Poland III Liga · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Blekitni Stargard vs KKS 1925 Kalisz

Team pages: Blekitni Stargard · KKS 1925 Kalisz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Blekitni Stargard1.66

KKS 1925 Kalisz1.5

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Blekitni Stargard Draw KKS 1925 Kalisz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Blekitni Stargard 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWLWDD

KKS 1925 Kalisz 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWDDDW

Head-to-head

Blekitni Stargard 0–2 KKS 1925 Kalisz (2 last)

Blekitni Stargard0-4KKS 1925 Kalisz
KKS 1925 Kalisz2-0Blekitni Stargard

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blekitni Stargard 1516 · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1522

	Blekitni Stargard	Draw	KKS 1925 Kalisz
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KKS 1925 Kalisz: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blekitni Stargard	KKS 1925 Kalisz
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	3.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +3’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blekitni Stargard 0–0–2 KKS 1925 Kalisz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/21 Poland II Liga	Blekitni Stargard	0-4 HT 0-1	KKS 1925 Kalisz
29/08/20 Poland II Liga	KKS 1925 Kalisz	2-0 HT 0-0	Blekitni Stargard

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	10	8	2	0	16	3	26
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	10	5	4	1	15	8	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	10	6	1	3	17	15	19
4	Wisloka Debica	10	6	1	3	14	12	19
5	JKS Jaroslaw	10	5	2	3	26	17	17
6	Wislanie Jaskowice	10	5	2	3	15	10	17
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	10	5	2	3	24	20	17
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
9	Hetman Zamosc	10	3	4	3	18	18	13
10	Wisla Krakow II	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	10	2	6	2	10	10	12
12	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
13	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
14	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	10	3	2	5	14	21	11
15	Korona Kielce II	10	2	2	6	21	26	8
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	10	2	2	6	9	14	8
17	Moravia Morawica	10	2	1	7	11	20	7
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	10	2	1	7	10	19	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blekitni Stargard	KKS 1925 Kalisz
Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-3 D	1-1 D
Victoria Wrzesnia	1-1 D	3-3 D
Baltyk Koszalin	2-0 W	1-1 D
KSS Kotwica Kornik	2-4 L	2-2 D
Flota Swinoujscie	5-1 W	1-0 W
Kluczevia Stargard	1-2 L	1-0 W
Wda Swiecie	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 5 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blekitni Stargard

DLWLWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	3-2	3-3	1	2	D
19/09	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/09	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	2-2	2-4	8	5	L
29/08	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	5	7	L
15/08	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	4-2	4-2	10	5	W
08/08	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

KKS 1925 Kalisz

WWDLDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
19/09	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
29/08	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/08	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
15/08	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
09/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blekitni Stargard vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blekitni Stargard win (41%). Probabilities: Blekitni Stargard 41%, draw 25%, KKS 1925 Kalisz 34%.

How many goals are expected in Blekitni Stargard vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Blekitni Stargard 1.66 · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Blekitni Stargard vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.