Football · Poland III Liga · 10/10, 12:00

Prediction: KTS-K Luzino vs Wda Swiecie

Team pages: KTS-K Luzino · Wda Swiecie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

KTS-K Luzino2.2

Wda Swiecie0.97

1X2

65% 20% 15%

KTS-K Luzino Draw Wda Swiecie

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

KTS-K Luzino 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWWL

Wda Swiecie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWDLL

Head-to-head

KTS-K Luzino 1–1 Wda Swiecie (2 last)

Wda Swiecie1-0KTS-K Luzino
KTS-K Luzino1-0Wda Swiecie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTS-K Luzino 1545 · Wda Swiecie 1530

	KTS-K Luzino	Draw	Wda Swiecie
Our model	65%	21%	14%
Market	66%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KTS-K Luzino	Wda Swiecie
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.2	4.4 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +13’	1.36	4.75	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KTS-K Luzino 1–0–1 Wda Swiecie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Poland III Liga	Wda Swiecie	1-0 HT 1-0	KTS-K Luzino
02/08/25 Poland III Liga	KTS-K Luzino	1-0 HT 0-0	Wda Swiecie

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18	5	27
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
6	JKS Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27	20	17
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	11	5	2	4	15	11	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17	21	14
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
12	Wisla Krakow II	11	3	4	4	13	16	13
13	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23	27	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10	14	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13	22	8
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KTS-K Luzino	Wda Swiecie
Elana Torun	1-3 L	2-1 W
Notec Czarnkow	2-0 W	2-1 W
Unia Swarzedz	3-1 W	1-0 W
Grom Nowy Staw	5-1 W	4-2 W
Gedania Gdansk	4-0 W	1-1 D
Lipno Steszew	2-1 W	2-1 W
Blekitni Stargard	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KTS-K Luzino (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTS-K Luzino

DWWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	2	7	L
26/09	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
19/09	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
11/09	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	2-0	5-1	2	0	W
05/09	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	8	4	W
28/08	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
23/08	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
14/08	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
09/08	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Wda Swiecie

DWDWWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	9	5	L
19/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
12/09	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
04/09	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	10	7	W
28/08	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	11	2	W
23/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
15/08	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTS-K Luzino vs Wda Swiecie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTS-K Luzino win (65%). Probabilities: KTS-K Luzino 65%, draw 20%, Wda Swiecie 15%.

How many goals are expected in KTS-K Luzino vs Wda Swiecie?

The model expects 3.17 goals (KTS-K Luzino 2.2 · Wda Swiecie 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KTS-K Luzino vs Wda Swiecie?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.