Football · Poland III Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow

Team pages: KSS Kotwica Kornik · Notec Czarnkow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

KSS Kotwica Kornik1.57

Notec Czarnkow1.67

1X2

35% 25% 39%

KSS Kotwica Kornik Draw Notec Czarnkow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

KSS Kotwica Kornik 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWWLLL

Notec Czarnkow 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDLW

Head-to-head

KSS Kotwica Kornik 2–1–0 Notec Czarnkow (3 last)

Notec Czarnkow0-1KSS Kotwica Kornik
KSS Kotwica Kornik6-1Notec Czarnkow
KSS Kotwica Kornik2-2Notec Czarnkow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Notec Czarnkow (rating 1453 vs 1523).
H2H favours KSS Kotwica Kornik: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KSS Kotwica Kornik	Notec Czarnkow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.79

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.27 → 3.19▼	Pinn 3.19
X	3.88 → 3.86▼	Pinn 3.86
2	1.77 → 1.81▲	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +47’	3.27	3.88	1.77
05:21 +32’	3.19▼	3.86▼	1.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KSS Kotwica Kornik 2–1–0 Notec Czarnkow

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/25 Poland III Liga	Notec Czarnkow	0-1 HT 0-1	KSS Kotwica Kornik
29/09/24 Poland III Liga	KSS Kotwica Kornik	6-1 HT 5-0	Notec Czarnkow
26/11/22 Poland IV Liga	KSS Kotwica Kornik	2-2 HT 0-2	Notec Czarnkow

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18	5	27
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27	20	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
9	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17	21	14
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
12	Wisla Krakow II	11	3	4	4	13	16	13
13	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23	27	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10	14	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13	22	8
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KSS Kotwica Kornik	Notec Czarnkow
Unia Swarzedz	0-7 L	3-0 W
Grom Nowy Staw	1-3 L	0-2 L
KKS 1925 Kalisz	2-2 D	1-0 W
Flota Swinoujscie	0-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Notec Czarnkow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSS Kotwica Kornik

LDLLWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	0-2	0-7	8	3	L
26/09	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	1-2	1-3	1	3	L
19/09	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	1-2	1-6	–	–	L
12/09	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	3	1	W
05/09	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	2-2	4-2	4	5	W
28/08	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
22/08	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Notec Czarnkow

LWWWLWLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
19/09	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
05/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
22/08	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
19/08	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Notec Czarnkow win (39%). Probabilities: KSS Kotwica Kornik 35%, draw 25%, Notec Czarnkow 39%.

How many goals are expected in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow?

The model expects 3.24 goals (KSS Kotwica Kornik 1.57 · Notec Czarnkow 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Notec Czarnkow?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.