Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 07/11, 15:30

Prediction: Basel II vs FC Schaffhausen

Team pages: Basel II · FC Schaffhausen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Basel II1.41

FC Schaffhausen2.1

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Basel II Draw FC Schaffhausen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Basel II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Schaffhausen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Basel II 2–0 FC Schaffhausen (2 last)

Basel II2-1FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen1-6Basel II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basel II 1516 · FC Schaffhausen 1554

	Basel II	Draw	FC Schaffhausen
Our model	25%	23%	53%
Market	24%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Basel II: 2-0-0.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Basel II	FC Schaffhausen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 8	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.90

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
X	4.20 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.61 → 1.73▲	Pinn 1.90 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +9’	3.90	4.20	1.61
02:46 +6’	3.70▼	3.90▼	1.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +1’	3.78	4.06	1.74
20:24 +26’	3.32▼	3.87▼	1.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel II 2–0–0 FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Schaffhausen
05/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Schaffhausen	1-6	Basel II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Schaffhausen	13	10	1	2	33	15	31
2	FC Bulle	14	9	3	2	31	20	30
3	Biel Bienne	14	8	4	2	30	18	28
4	SC Cham	14	8	3	3	25	19	27
5	FC Paradiso	14	7	4	3	27	15	25
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	14	8	0	6	27	20	24
7	FC Zurich II	14	6	3	5	29	25	21
8	Breitenrain	14	6	3	5	21	20	21
9	SC Bruhl	14	6	2	6	18	18	20
10	Basel II	14	6	1	7	24	26	19
11	YF Juventus	14	6	1	7	19	22	19
12	FC Amical Saint-Prex	14	6	1	7	18	26	19
13	FC Kreuzlingen	14	4	3	7	22	26	15
14	Young Boys II	14	4	3	7	29	36	15
15	Lugano II	14	4	1	9	21	33	13
16	Lucerne II	14	3	2	9	21	33	11
17	AC Bellinzona	14	2	3	9	10	26	9
18	Bavois	13	2	2	9	12	19	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Basel II	FC Schaffhausen
FC Amical Saint-Prex	0-2 L	1-0 W
Biel Bienne	2-2 D	3-2 W
Lucerne II	3-2 W	8-0 W
Young Boys II	2-0 W	6-3 W
FC Bulle	1-2 L	1-0 W
Lugano II	0-3 L	2-1 W
SC Bruhl	3-0 W	1-1 D
YF Juventus	3-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Schaffhausen (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basel II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/10	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
03/10	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
26/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-0	11	5	W
19/09	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	6	8	L
13/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	0-3	10	9	L
05/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
29/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W

FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
31/10	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	4-0	8-0	2	5	W
03/10	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	6-3	–	–	W
26/09	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
19/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
22/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basel II vs FC Schaffhausen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Schaffhausen win (52%). Probabilities: Basel II 25%, draw 23%, FC Schaffhausen 52%.

How many goals are expected in Basel II vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Basel II 1.41 · FC Schaffhausen 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Basel II vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.