Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Young Boys II vs AC Bellinzona

Team pages: Young Boys II · AC Bellinzona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Young Boys II1.98

AC Bellinzona1.63

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Young Boys II Draw AC Bellinzona

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Boys II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDLLLDWL

AC Bellinzona 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLWDL

Head-to-head

Young Boys II 0–2–1 AC Bellinzona (3 last)

AC Bellinzona0-0Young Boys II
Young Boys II1-1AC Bellinzona
AC Bellinzona2-0Young Boys II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Boys II 1484 · AC Bellinzona 1468

	Young Boys II	Draw	AC Bellinzona
Our model	45%	23%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Boys II	AC Bellinzona
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.4	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	6.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.77

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.02
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.74
2	3.40 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.13 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +7’	1.80	3.80	3.40
22:38 +5’	2.00▲	3.70▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +65’	2.08	3.71	3.00
12:02 +10’	2.10▲	3.77▲	3.04▲
14:00 +1’	2.02▼	3.74▼	3.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys II 0–2–1 AC Bellinzona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/02/22 Europe Friendlies	AC Bellinzona	0-0 HT 0-0	Young Boys II
20/11/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	1-1	AC Bellinzona
13/08/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	AC Bellinzona	2-0	Young Boys II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bulle	15	10	3	2	34	20	33
2	FC Schaffhausen	14	10	2	2	35	17	32
3	SC Cham	15	9	3	3	30	19	30
4	Biel Bienne	14	8	4	2	30	18	28
5	FC Paradiso	15	7	4	4	28	19	25
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	15	8	0	7	28	25	24
7	SC Bruhl	15	7	2	6	20	19	23
8	YF Juventus	15	7	1	7	25	23	22
9	FC Zurich II	15	6	3	6	29	28	21
10	Breitenrain	15	6	3	6	22	22	21
11	Basel II	15	6	2	7	26	28	20
12	FC Amical Saint-Prex	15	6	1	8	18	31	19
13	FC Kreuzlingen	14	4	3	7	22	26	15
14	Young Boys II	14	4	3	7	29	36	15
15	Lucerne II	15	4	2	9	26	34	14
16	Lugano II	15	4	1	10	22	39	13
17	Bavois	14	3	2	9	16	20	11
18	AC Bellinzona	14	2	3	9	10	26	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Boys II	AC Bellinzona
FC Grand-Saconnex	1-2 L	0-3 L
FC Kreuzlingen	5-2 W	2-1 W
FC Paradiso	2-2 D	0-4 L
SC Cham	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Young Boys II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Boys II

DWWDLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/10	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	5-2	7	3	W
17/10	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
10/10	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-6	–	–	L
26/09	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-2	–	–	W
30/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	2-2	1	7	D

AC Bellinzona

DLWLDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/10	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
21/10	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
10/10	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/10	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-3	0-4	5	7	L
27/09	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
19/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
29/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Boys II vs AC Bellinzona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys II win (45%). Probabilities: Young Boys II 45%, draw 24%, AC Bellinzona 31%.

How many goals are expected in Young Boys II vs AC Bellinzona?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Young Boys II 1.98 · AC Bellinzona 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Boys II vs AC Bellinzona?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.