Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Biel Bienne vs FC Kreuzlingen

Team pages: Biel Bienne · FC Kreuzlingen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Biel Bienne2.37

FC Kreuzlingen1.23

1X2

62% 20% 18%

Biel Bienne Draw FC Kreuzlingen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Biel Bienne 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWDDDL

FC Kreuzlingen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Biel Bienne 1–1–0 FC Kreuzlingen (2 last)

Biel Bienne4-0FC Kreuzlingen
FC Kreuzlingen1-1Biel Bienne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Biel Bienne 1541 · FC Kreuzlingen 1457

	Biel Bienne	Draw	FC Kreuzlingen
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biel Bienne (rating 1541 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Biel Bienne	FC Kreuzlingen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.27
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 6.38 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +12’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +33’	1.37	5.14	6.19
13:58 +20’	1.38▲	5.27▲	6.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Biel Bienne 1–1–0 FC Kreuzlingen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	4-0	FC Kreuzlingen
15/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Kreuzlingen	1-1	Biel Bienne

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bulle	15	10	3	2	34	20	33
2	FC Schaffhausen	14	10	2	2	35	17	32
3	SC Cham	15	9	3	3	30	19	30
4	Biel Bienne	14	8	4	2	30	18	28
5	FC Paradiso	15	7	4	4	28	19	25
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	15	8	0	7	28	25	24
7	SC Bruhl	15	7	2	6	20	19	23
8	YF Juventus	15	7	1	7	25	23	22
9	FC Zurich II	15	6	3	6	29	28	21
10	Breitenrain	15	6	3	6	22	22	21
11	Basel II	15	6	2	7	26	28	20
12	FC Amical Saint-Prex	15	6	1	8	18	31	19
13	FC Kreuzlingen	14	4	3	7	22	26	15
14	Young Boys II	14	4	3	7	29	36	15
15	Lucerne II	15	4	2	9	26	34	14
16	Lugano II	15	4	1	10	22	39	13
17	Bavois	14	3	2	9	16	20	11
18	AC Bellinzona	14	2	3	9	10	26	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Biel Bienne	FC Kreuzlingen
Breitenrain	4-0 W	1-0 W
Lucerne II	1-0 W	2-3 L
Young Boys II	2-4 L	2-5 L
FC Bulle	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Biel Bienne (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Biel Bienne

DLWWWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
31/10	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/10	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
11/10	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
03/10	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D

FC Kreuzlingen

WLLDDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/10	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-3	2-5	5	3	L
21/10	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-3	3	9	L
11/10	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
30/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Biel Bienne vs FC Kreuzlingen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Biel Bienne win (62%). Probabilities: Biel Bienne 62%, draw 20%, FC Kreuzlingen 18%.

How many goals are expected in Biel Bienne vs FC Kreuzlingen?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Biel Bienne 2.37 · FC Kreuzlingen 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Biel Bienne vs FC Kreuzlingen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.