Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: FC Paradiso vs Biel Bienne

Team pages: FC Paradiso · Biel Bienne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FC Paradiso1.38

Biel Bienne1.63

1X2

32% 25% 43%

FC Paradiso Draw Biel Bienne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Paradiso 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWDDW

Biel Bienne 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWWDD

Head-to-head

FC Paradiso 0–3–3 Biel Bienne (6 last)

Biel Bienne0-0FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso2-2Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne2-0FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso0-1Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne1-1FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso1-2Biel Bienne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Paradiso 1567 · Biel Bienne 1561

	FC Paradiso	Draw	Biel Bienne
Our model	31%	26%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Biel Bienne: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Paradiso	Biel Bienne
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.75▼	Pinn 2.82
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.70
2	2.00 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.18 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +26’	2.80	3.75	2.00
00:42 +9’	2.75▼	3.60▼	2.05▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +29’	2.82	3.70	2.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Paradiso 0–3–3 Biel Bienne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Paradiso
27/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	2-2 HT 0-1	Biel Bienne
24/05/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	2-0	FC Paradiso
16/11/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	0-1 HT 0-0	Biel Bienne
17/03/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Paradiso
09/09/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	1-2 HT 1-1	Biel Bienne

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	12	8	3	1	27	14	27
2	FC Bulle	13	8	3	2	30	20	27
3	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29	13	25
4	FC Paradiso	13	7	3	3	26	14	24
5	SC Cham	13	7	3	3	23	18	24
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	13	7	0	6	25	19	21
7	Basel II	13	6	1	6	24	24	19
8	YF Juventus	13	6	1	6	19	20	19
9	FC Amical Saint-Prex	13	6	1	6	18	25	19
10	FC Zurich II	13	5	3	5	23	24	18
11	Breitenrain	13	5	3	5	19	20	18
12	SC Bruhl	13	5	2	6	16	18	17
13	FC Kreuzlingen	13	4	3	6	20	23	15
14	Young Boys II	13	4	3	6	28	34	15
15	Lugano II	13	4	1	8	20	27	13
16	AC Bellinzona	13	2	3	8	10	25	9
17	Bavois	12	2	2	8	11	17	8
18	Lucerne II	13	2	2	9	18	31	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Paradiso	Biel Bienne
Lucerne II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Young Boys II	2-2 D	2-4 L
FC Bulle	2-2 D	1-1 D
Lugano II	1-0 W	5-2 W
SC Bruhl	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Paradiso (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Paradiso

DWWWLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	9	3	D
10/10	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
13/09	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
05/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	4-0	4	3	W
29/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-2	5-2	4	5	W
22/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D

Biel Bienne

WWDLWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
11/10	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
03/10	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	5-2	–	–	W
19/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Paradiso vs Biel Bienne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Biel Bienne win (43%). Probabilities: FC Paradiso 32%, draw 25%, Biel Bienne 43%.

How many goals are expected in FC Paradiso vs Biel Bienne?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FC Paradiso 1.38 · Biel Bienne 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Paradiso vs Biel Bienne?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.