Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Zurich II vs Breitenrain

Team pages: FC Zurich II · Breitenrain

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

FC Zurich II1.71

Breitenrain1.43

1X2

43% 25% 32%

FC Zurich II Draw Breitenrain

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Zurich II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Breitenrain 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Zurich II 2–1–3 Breitenrain (6 last)

Breitenrain3-1FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II1-0Breitenrain
FC Zurich II1-2Breitenrain
Breitenrain3-1FC Zurich II
Breitenrain2-2FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II6-0Breitenrain

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Zurich II 1498 · Breitenrain 1494

	FC Zurich II	Draw	Breitenrain
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Breitenrain: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Zurich II	Breitenrain
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.08
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.96 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:29 +8’	2.30	3.60	2.50
23:15 +7’	2.05▼	3.70▲	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +33’	2.08	3.66	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich II 2–1–3 Breitenrain

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Zurich II
26/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-0	Breitenrain
30/03/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-2	Breitenrain
21/09/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	3-1	FC Zurich II
02/03/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Zurich II
26/08/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	6-0 HT 0-0	Breitenrain

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	10	8	1	1	23	10	25
2	FC Schaffhausen	10	7	1	2	21	13	22
3	FC Bulle	10	6	2	2	22	14	20
4	FC Paradiso	10	6	1	3	20	9	19
5	SC Cham	10	6	1	3	16	13	19
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	10	6	0	4	19	14	18
7	YF Juventus	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19	19	15
9	FC Zurich II	10	4	2	4	18	18	14
10	Breitenrain	10	4	2	4	13	15	14
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	10	4	1	5	14	22	13
12	FC Kreuzlingen	10	3	3	4	13	13	12
13	SC Bruhl	10	3	2	5	12	15	11
14	Young Boys II	10	3	2	5	20	27	11
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15	22	9
16	Bavois	10	2	2	6	10	12	8
17	Lucerne II	10	2	1	7	15	19	7
18	AC Bellinzona	10	1	2	7	7	22	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Zurich II	Breitenrain
AC Bellinzona	4-0 W	2-2 D
FC Grand-Saconnex	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Kreuzlingen	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC Paradiso	1-3 L	2-1 W
SC Cham	0-4 L	1-2 L
Bavois	2-2 D	1-0 W
Biel Bienne	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Zurich II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	4-0	1	7	W
26/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
20/09	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
05/09	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
22/08	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/08	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L

Breitenrain

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
27/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	2-2	3	10	D
19/09	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
05/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
01/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Zurich II vs Breitenrain?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Zurich II win (43%). Probabilities: FC Zurich II 43%, draw 25%, Breitenrain 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich II vs Breitenrain?

The model expects 3.14 goals (FC Zurich II 1.71 · Breitenrain 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Zurich II vs Breitenrain?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.