Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: Breitenrain vs FC Amical Saint-Prex

Team pages: Breitenrain · FC Amical Saint-Prex

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Breitenrain1.84

FC Amical Saint-Prex1.25

1X2

51% 24% 25%

Breitenrain Draw FC Amical Saint-Prex

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Breitenrain 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Amical Saint-Prex 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breitenrain 1503 · FC Amical Saint-Prex 1497

	Breitenrain	Draw	FC Amical Saint-Prex
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breitenrain	FC Amical Saint-Prex
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/50/33%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.88 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +4’	1.75	3.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:41 +31’	1.88	3.66	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	11	8	2	1	25	12	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29	13	25
3	SC Cham	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	FC Bulle	11	6	3	2	24	16	21
5	FC Paradiso	11	6	2	3	22	11	20
6	YF Juventus	11	6	1	4	16	14	19
7	FC Grand-Saconnex	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
8	Basel II	11	5	1	5	21	21	16
9	FC Amical Saint-Prex	11	5	1	5	16	22	16
10	FC Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
11	FC Zurich II	11	4	3	4	20	20	15
12	Breitenrain	11	4	3	4	15	17	15
13	SC Bruhl	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Young Boys II	11	3	2	6	21	30	11
15	Lugano II	11	3	0	8	17	25	9
16	Bavois	11	2	2	7	10	14	8
17	Lucerne II	11	2	1	8	15	27	7
18	AC Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7	24	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breitenrain	FC Amical Saint-Prex
FC Zurich II	2-2 D	1-2 L
Bavois	1-0 W	2-0 W
AC Bellinzona	2-2 D	1-0 W
Biel Bienne	0-4 L	1-2 L
Lucerne II	1-0 W	3-2 W
Young Boys II	4-2 W	2-2 D
FC Bulle	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breitenrain

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
03/10	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
27/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	2-2	3	10	D
19/09	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
05/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D

FC Amical Saint-Prex

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/10	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/09	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-3	11	4	L
05/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-4	–	–	L
22/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-1	–	–	W
19/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breitenrain vs FC Amical Saint-Prex?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breitenrain win (51%). Probabilities: Breitenrain 51%, draw 24%, FC Amical Saint-Prex 25%.

How many goals are expected in Breitenrain vs FC Amical Saint-Prex?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Breitenrain 1.84 · FC Amical Saint-Prex 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Breitenrain vs FC Amical Saint-Prex?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.