Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Zurich II vs YF Juventus

Team pages: FC Zurich II · YF Juventus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FC Zurich II1.82

YF Juventus1.64

1X2

42% 24% 34%

FC Zurich II Draw YF Juventus

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Zurich II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLDLWD

YF Juventus 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

FC Zurich II 2–1–3 YF Juventus (6 last)

FC Zurich II1-0YF Juventus
YF Juventus1-0FC Zurich II
YF Juventus1-2FC Zurich II
FC Zurich II1-2YF Juventus
FC Zurich II2-2YF Juventus
YF Juventus2-1FC Zurich II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Zurich II 1508 · YF Juventus 1531

	FC Zurich II	Draw	YF Juventus
Our model	41%	24%	34%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours YF Juventus: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Zurich II	YF Juventus
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	1.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.70

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.21
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.71
2	2.10 → 2.60▲	Pinn 2.71 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +6’	2.70	3.70	2.10
19:57 +9’	2.15▼	3.70	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +89’	2.19	3.71	2.74
17:00 +186’	2.21▲	3.71	2.71▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich II 2–1–3 YF Juventus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-0	YF Juventus
12/11/22 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	YF Juventus	1-0	FC Zurich II
27/11/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	YF Juventus	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Zurich II
18/08/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	1-2 HT 0-1	YF Juventus
22/05/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Zurich II	2-2	YF Juventus
19/08/20 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	YF Juventus	2-1	FC Zurich II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	11	8	2	1	25	12	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29	13	25
3	SC Cham	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	FC Bulle	11	6	3	2	24	16	21
5	FC Paradiso	11	6	2	3	22	11	20
6	YF Juventus	11	6	1	4	16	14	19
7	FC Grand-Saconnex	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
8	Basel II	11	5	1	5	21	21	16
9	FC Amical Saint-Prex	11	5	1	5	16	22	16
10	FC Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
11	FC Zurich II	11	4	3	4	20	20	15
12	Breitenrain	11	4	3	4	15	17	15
13	SC Bruhl	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Young Boys II	11	3	2	6	21	30	11
15	Lugano II	11	3	0	8	17	25	9
16	Bavois	11	2	2	7	10	14	8
17	Lucerne II	11	2	1	8	15	27	7
18	AC Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7	24	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Zurich II	YF Juventus
AC Bellinzona	4-0 W	2-0 W
FC Grand-Saconnex	1-2 L	1-0 W
FC Kreuzlingen	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Paradiso	1-3 L	1-0 W
SC Cham	0-4 L	2-0 W
FC Schaffhausen	3-1 W	3-0 W
Basel II	3-2 W	2-3 L
FC Amical Saint-Prex	2-1 W	1-3 L
Bavois	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: YF Juventus (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Zurich II

DWWWLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
04/10	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	4-0	1	7	W
26/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
20/09	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
05/09	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	3-1	7	4	W
22/08	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
19/08	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D

YF Juventus

LWLLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
12/09	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
19/08	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Zurich II vs YF Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Zurich II win (42%). Probabilities: FC Zurich II 42%, draw 24%, YF Juventus 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich II vs YF Juventus?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Zurich II 1.82 · YF Juventus 1.64), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Zurich II vs YF Juventus?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.