Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Paradiso vs Young Boys II

Team pages: FC Paradiso · Young Boys II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FC Paradiso2.25

Young Boys II1.41

1X2

55% 22% 22%

FC Paradiso Draw Young Boys II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Paradiso 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLWWD

Young Boys II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWDLLL

Head-to-head

FC Paradiso 0–5–1 Young Boys II (6 last)

Young Boys II1-1FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso2-4Young Boys II
FC Paradiso1-1Young Boys II
Young Boys II1-1FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso0-0Young Boys II
Young Boys II0-0FC Paradiso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Paradiso 1557 · Young Boys II 1465

	FC Paradiso	Draw	Young Boys II
Our model	56%	22%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Paradiso (rating 1557 vs 1465).
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Paradiso	Young Boys II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	1 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	33/0/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.19
2	3.60 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.39 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +5’	1.70	3.90	3.60
19:41 +12’	1.61▼	4.00▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +18’	1.60	4.19	4.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Paradiso 0–5–1 Young Boys II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Paradiso
13/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	2-4 HT 1-3	Young Boys II
18/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	1-1 HT 0-0	Young Boys II
18/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Paradiso
17/04/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Paradiso	0-0 HT 0-0	Young Boys II
14/10/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Young Boys II	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Paradiso

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	11	8	2	1	25	12	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29	13	25
3	SC Cham	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	FC Bulle	11	6	3	2	24	16	21
5	FC Paradiso	11	6	2	3	22	11	20
6	YF Juventus	11	6	1	4	16	14	19
7	FC Grand-Saconnex	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
8	Basel II	11	5	1	5	21	21	16
9	FC Amical Saint-Prex	11	5	1	5	16	22	16
10	FC Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
11	FC Zurich II	11	4	3	4	20	20	15
12	Breitenrain	11	4	3	4	15	17	15
13	SC Bruhl	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Young Boys II	11	3	2	6	21	30	11
15	Lugano II	11	3	0	8	17	25	9
16	Bavois	11	2	2	7	10	14	8
17	Lucerne II	11	2	1	8	15	27	7
18	AC Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7	24	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Paradiso	Young Boys II
FC Bulle	2-2 D	0-3 L
Lugano II	1-0 W	3-1 W
Breitenrain	1-2 L	2-4 L
SC Cham	2-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Paradiso (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Paradiso

WLDWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
13/09	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
05/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	4-0	4	3	W
29/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-2	5-2	4	5	W
22/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-0	–	–	W

Young Boys II

WLLDWWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-6	–	–	L
26/09	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-2	–	–	W
30/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	2-2	1	7	D
26/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-3	2-4	4	4	L
09/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Paradiso vs Young Boys II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Paradiso win (55%). Probabilities: FC Paradiso 55%, draw 22%, Young Boys II 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Paradiso vs Young Boys II?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FC Paradiso 2.25 · Young Boys II 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Paradiso vs Young Boys II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.