Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Lucerne II vs FC Schaffhausen

Team pages: Lucerne II · FC Schaffhausen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Lucerne II1.62

FC Schaffhausen1.82

1X2

34% 24% 42%

Lucerne II Draw FC Schaffhausen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lucerne II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLWLL

FC Schaffhausen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Lucerne II 1–1 FC Schaffhausen (2 last)

FC Schaffhausen2-1Lucerne II
Lucerne II3-2FC Schaffhausen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucerne II 1438 · FC Schaffhausen 1575

	Lucerne II	Draw	FC Schaffhausen
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	34%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Schaffhausen (rating 1438 vs 1575).
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lucerne II	FC Schaffhausen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.8	2 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.8	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.90

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.60▼	Pinn 3.13 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.91
2	2.00 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +6’	2.75	3.90	2.00
23:02 +9’	2.80▲	4.00▲	1.95▼
01:21 +10’	2.60▼	3.90▼	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +64’	2.61	3.75	2.27
21:24 +107’	2.70▲	3.75	2.20▼
09:09 +9’	3.13▲	3.91▲	1.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne II 1–0–1 FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Schaffhausen	2-1	Lucerne II
13/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Lucerne II	3-2	FC Schaffhausen

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	10	8	1	1	23	10	25
2	FC Schaffhausen	10	7	1	2	21	13	22
3	FC Bulle	10	6	2	2	22	14	20
4	FC Paradiso	10	6	1	3	20	9	19
5	SC Cham	10	6	1	3	16	13	19
6	FC Grand-Saconnex	10	6	0	4	19	14	18
7	YF Juventus	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19	19	15
9	FC Zurich II	10	4	2	4	18	18	14
10	Breitenrain	10	4	2	4	13	15	14
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	10	4	1	5	14	22	13
12	FC Kreuzlingen	10	3	3	4	13	13	12
13	SC Bruhl	10	3	2	5	12	15	11
14	Young Boys II	10	3	2	5	20	27	11
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15	22	9
16	Bavois	10	2	2	6	10	12	8
17	Lucerne II	10	2	1	7	15	19	7
18	AC Bellinzona	10	1	2	7	7	22	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lucerne II	FC Schaffhausen
Young Boys II	2-2 D	6-3 W
FC Bulle	2-3 L	1-0 W
Lugano II	3-4 L	2-1 W
SC Bruhl	0-2 L	1-1 D
YF Juventus	3-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Schaffhausen (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucerne II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
26/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
20/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
12/09	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-2	10	7	D
22/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-4	–	–	L
08/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W

FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	6-3	–	–	W
26/09	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
19/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
22/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-1	–	–	W
08/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucerne II vs FC Schaffhausen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Schaffhausen win (42%). Probabilities: Lucerne II 34%, draw 24%, FC Schaffhausen 42%.

How many goals are expected in Lucerne II vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Lucerne II 1.62 · FC Schaffhausen 1.82), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lucerne II vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.