Football · Poland III Liga · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: Wislanie Jaskowice vs Wisloka Debica

Team pages: Wislanie Jaskowice · Wisloka Debica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Wislanie Jaskowice1.57

Wisloka Debica1.17

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Wislanie Jaskowice Draw Wisloka Debica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wislanie Jaskowice 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLLWD

Wisloka Debica 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Wislanie Jaskowice 3–2–1 Wisloka Debica (6 last)

Wisloka Debica2-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-0Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-3Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-3Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica1-3Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice4-0Wisloka Debica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wislanie Jaskowice 1529 · Wisloka Debica 1501

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Draw	Wisloka Debica
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wislanie Jaskowice: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Wisloka Debica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.9	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.4	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +7’	1.90	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wislanie Jaskowice 3–2–1 Wisloka Debica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	2-2 HT 1-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
31/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-0 HT 0-0	Wisloka Debica
29/03/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-3 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
30/08/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-3 HT 0-1	Wisloka Debica
25/11/23 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	1-3 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
05/08/23 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	4-0 HT 2-0	Wisloka Debica

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	9	7	2	0	14	2	23
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	9	5	4	0	14	6	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	9	6	0	3	16	14	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	9	5	2	2	14	8	17
5	JKS Jaroslaw	9	5	1	3	24	15	16
6	Wisloka Debica	9	5	1	3	12	11	16
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
8	Naprzod Jedrzejow	9	4	2	3	20	19	14
9	Wisla Krakow II	9	3	3	3	12	12	12
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	9	3	2	4	7	9	11
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	9	3	2	4	13	17	11
12	Hetman Zamosc	9	2	4	3	16	17	10
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	9	1	6	2	9	10	9
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
15	Star Starachowice	9	1	4	4	7	14	7
16	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Moravia Morawica	9	2	0	7	9	18	6
18	Korona Kielce II	9	1	2	6	20	26	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wislanie Jaskowice	Wisloka Debica
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-1 D	2-1 W
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	3-1 W
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-2 L	1-1 D
Korona Kielce II	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wislanie Jaskowice

LWWWDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	12	7	L

Wisloka Debica

LDWWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
02/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Wisloka Debica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wislanie Jaskowice win (46%). Probabilities: Wislanie Jaskowice 46%, draw 26%, Wisloka Debica 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Wisloka Debica?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Wislanie Jaskowice 1.57 · Wisloka Debica 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Wisloka Debica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.