Football · Poland III Liga · 25/09, 13:00

Prediction: Wisla Krakow II vs Czarni Polaniec

Team pages: Wisla Krakow II · Czarni Polaniec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Wisla Krakow II1.67

Czarni Polaniec1.45

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Wisla Krakow II Draw Czarni Polaniec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Krakow II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Czarni Polaniec 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wisla Krakow II 0–1–3 Czarni Polaniec (4 last)

Czarni Polaniec1-0Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II2-4Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec3-0Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II3-3Czarni Polaniec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Krakow II 1503 · Czarni Polaniec 1532

	Wisla Krakow II	Draw	Czarni Polaniec
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Czarni Polaniec: 3-1-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Krakow II	Czarni Polaniec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.90

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.75 → 2.63▼	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +3’	2.05	3.75	2.75
13:02 +3’	2.05	3.90▲	2.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Krakow II 0–1–3 Czarni Polaniec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	1-0 HT 1-0	Wisla Krakow II
05/09/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	2-4 HT 2-2	Czarni Polaniec
21/05/25 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	3-0 HT 1-0	Wisla Krakow II
26/10/24 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	3-3 HT 1-3	Czarni Polaniec

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	9	7	2	0	14	2	23
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	9	5	4	0	14	6	19
3	Czarni Polaniec	9	6	0	3	16	14	18
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	9	5	2	2	14	8	17
5	JKS Jaroslaw	9	5	1	3	24	15	16
6	Wisloka Debica	9	5	1	3	12	11	16
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
8	Naprzod Jedrzejow	9	4	2	3	20	19	14
9	Wisla Krakow II	9	3	3	3	12	12	12
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	9	3	2	4	7	9	11
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	9	3	2	4	13	17	11
12	Hetman Zamosc	9	2	4	3	16	17	10
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	9	1	6	2	9	10	9
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
15	Star Starachowice	9	1	4	4	7	14	7
16	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	9	2	1	6	10	18	7
17	Moravia Morawica	9	2	0	7	9	18	6
18	Korona Kielce II	9	1	2	6	20	26	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Krakow II	Czarni Polaniec
Naprzod Jedrzejow	0-0 D	2-5 L
Moravia Morawica	1-0 W	2-1 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1-1 D	3-0 W
Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 L	1-0 W
Korona Kielce II	2-1 W	4-3 W
Star Starachowice	4-2 W	0-2 L
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Krakow II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Krakow II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-0	3-3	–	–	D
12/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
05/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
08/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	4-2	9	2	W
30/05	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W

Czarni Polaniec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
13/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
05/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
28/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	4-3	4	5	W
19/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	8	6	L
15/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
02/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
30/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Krakow II vs Czarni Polaniec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Krakow II win (43%). Probabilities: Wisla Krakow II 43%, draw 24%, Czarni Polaniec 33%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Krakow II vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Wisla Krakow II 1.67 · Czarni Polaniec 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow II vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.