Football · Poland III Liga · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Star Starachowice

Team pages: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna · Star Starachowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1.57

Star Starachowice1.15

1X2

46% 26% 27%

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Draw Star Starachowice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLLDWD

Star Starachowice 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLDLWDL

Head-to-head

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 0–2 Star Starachowice (2 last)

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1-2Star Starachowice
Star Starachowice2-0Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1504 · Star Starachowice 1451

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Draw	Star Starachowice
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna (rating 1504 vs 1451).
H2H favours Star Starachowice: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Star Starachowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +14’	1.91	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 0–0–2 Star Starachowice

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-2 HT 0-0	Star Starachowice
04/10/25 Poland III Liga	Star Starachowice	2-0 HT 2-0	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	6	6	0	0	11	1	18
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
3	Czarni Polaniec	6	4	0	2	9	8	12
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	5	3	2	0	7	4	11
5	JKS Jaroslaw	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
6	Wisla Krakow II	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
7	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
8	Wieczysta Krakow II	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
10	Wisloka Debica	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
11	Hetman Zamosc	6	1	3	2	9	9	6
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
14	Naprzod Jedrzejow	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
16	Star Starachowice	6	1	2	3	5	11	5
17	Korona Kielce II	6	1	1	4	16	17	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	6	1	1	4	6	9	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Star Starachowice
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	0-0 D	1-1 D
JKS Jaroslaw	2-2 D	0-3 L
KSZO Ostrowiec	1-2 L	0-0 D
Czarni Polaniec	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Star Starachowice (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

WLWWDLLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
19/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
14/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	13	3	L
08/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
30/05	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
16/05	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
13/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	6	7	W

Star Starachowice

DLDLLDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
22/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
15/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
09/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
01/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-4	6	2	L
29/05	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-2	1-3	8	3	L
23/05	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
16/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Star Starachowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna win (46%). Probabilities: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 46%, draw 26%, Star Starachowice 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Star Starachowice?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1.57 · Star Starachowice 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Star Starachowice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.