Football · Poland III Liga · 06/09, 17:00

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Wisloka Debica1.4

Podlasie Biala Podlaska1.36

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Wisloka Debica Draw Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWWLLL

Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDWWLD

Head-to-head

Wisloka Debica 2–2–2 Podlasie Biala Podlaska (6 last)

Podlasie Biala Podlaska1-1Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica1-2Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska2-1Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica3-1Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska1-3Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-0Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1445 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1516

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podlasie Biala Podlaska (rating 1445 vs 1516).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	6 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +2’	2.38	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisloka Debica 2–2–2 Podlasie Biala Podlaska

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	1-1 HT 1-0	Wisloka Debica
23/08/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	1-2 HT 1-1	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
26/04/25 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-1 HT 1-0	Wisloka Debica
28/09/24 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	3-1 HT 1-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
30/03/24 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	1-3 HT 1-2	Wisloka Debica
03/09/23 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-0 HT 0-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	7	7	0	0	13	1	21
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	7	4	3	0	13	6	15
3	Czarni Polaniec	7	5	0	2	12	8	15
4	JKS Jaroslaw	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
6	Wisla Krakow II	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
7	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
8	Hetman Zamosc	7	2	3	2	11	10	9
9	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	7	2	2	3	11	15	8
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	7	1	4	2	6	7	7
12	Wisloka Debica	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	7	2	1	4	8	11	7
14	Star Starachowice	7	1	3	3	5	11	6
15	Moravia Morawica	7	2	0	5	7	14	6
16	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
17	Korona Kielce II	7	1	1	5	18	23	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-1 W	0-0 D
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	0-2 L
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisloka Debica

LDLLDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
02/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
16/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	6	1	D
13/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	3	8	L

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

WDDLLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/05	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
16/05	Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/05	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisloka Debica win (37%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 37%, draw 27%, Podlasie Biala Podlaska 36%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Wisloka Debica 1.4 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1.36), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.