Football · Poland III Liga · 15/08, 12:00

Prediction: Wisla Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Wisla Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Wisla Krakow II1.66

Wislanie Jaskowice1.29

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Wisla Krakow II Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Krakow II 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWW

Wislanie Jaskowice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDLLWW

Head-to-head

Wisla Krakow II 2–1–1 Wislanie Jaskowice (4 last)

Wislanie Jaskowice0-1Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II1-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wisla Krakow II5-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-1Wisla Krakow II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Krakow II 1559 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1485

	Wisla Krakow II	Draw	Wislanie Jaskowice
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisla Krakow II (rating 1559 vs 1485).
H2H favours Wisla Krakow II: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Krakow II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.2	1.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.14 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:34 +3’	1.95	3.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:53	2.14	3.36	2.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Krakow II 2–1–1 Wislanie Jaskowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-1 HT 0-1	Wisla Krakow II
20/09/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	1-2 HT 1-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
12/04/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	5-0 HT 3-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
13/09/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 HT 1-1	Wisla Krakow II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Wisla Krakow II	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
5	Czarni Polaniec	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Chelmianka Chelm	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
7	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
8	Moravia Morawica	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Naprzod Jedrzejow	2	1	0	1	5	6	3
10	Hetman Zamosc	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	JKS Jaroslaw	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	Star Starachowice	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow II	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Krakow II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Korona Kielce II	2-1 W	1-4 L
Star Starachowice	4-2 W	0-2 L
Wisloka Debica	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Krakow II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Krakow II

WLLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	4-2	9	2	W
30/05	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	11	4	W
16/05	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
13/05	Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
09/05	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
01/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-3	9	9	L
24/04	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
18/04	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Wislanie Jaskowice

LLDLWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
30/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	12	7	L
22/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
16/05	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	0	1	D
13/05	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
01/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/04	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Krakow II win (46%). Probabilities: Wisla Krakow II 46%, draw 25%, Wislanie Jaskowice 29%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Wisla Krakow II 1.66 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.