Football · Poland III Liga · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Czarni Polaniec vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Team pages: Czarni Polaniec · Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Czarni Polaniec1.7

Podlasie Biala Podlaska1.42

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Czarni Polaniec Draw Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Czarni Polaniec 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLDLWW

Podlasie Biala Podlaska 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLWLD

Head-to-head

Czarni Polaniec 3–1–2 Podlasie Biala Podlaska (6 last)

Czarni Polaniec3-2Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska3-1Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec3-1Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska1-1Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec1-0Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska3-0Czarni Polaniec

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Czarni Polaniec: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Czarni Polaniec	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.77
X	3.44 → 3.44	Pinn 3.44
2	3.67 → 3.67	Pinn 3.67

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51	1.77	3.44	3.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Czarni Polaniec 3–1–2 Podlasie Biala Podlaska

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	3-2 HT 1-2	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
30/08/25 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3-1 HT 2-0	Czarni Polaniec
17/05/25 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	3-1 HT 0-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
19/10/24 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	1-1 HT 1-0	Czarni Polaniec
04/05/24 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	1-0 HT 1-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
07/10/23 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3-0 HT 2-0	Czarni Polaniec

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Wisla Krakow II	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
5	Czarni Polaniec	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Chelmianka Chelm	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
7	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
8	Moravia Morawica	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Naprzod Jedrzejow	2	1	0	1	5	6	3
10	Hetman Zamosc	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	JKS Jaroslaw	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
14	Star Starachowice	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
18	Wieczysta Krakow II	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Czarni Polaniec	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
KSZO Ostrowiec	1-1 D	0-1 L
Star Starachowice	2-1 W	1-1 D
Swidniczanka Swidnik	4-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Czarni Polaniec (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Czarni Polaniec

WWLWLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
02/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
24/07	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
11/07	KSZO Ostrowiec Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	8	0	D
30/05	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
16/05	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
13/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
09/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
01/05	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	5	3	W

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

WWWWDDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/07	Orleta Radzyn Podlaski Europe Friendlies	2-1	5-1	9	0	W
30/05	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
16/05	Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/05	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/05	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	8	4	W
03/05	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	2	4	W
25/04	Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Czarni Polaniec vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Czarni Polaniec win (43%). Probabilities: Czarni Polaniec 43%, draw 26%, Podlasie Biala Podlaska 31%.

How many goals are expected in Czarni Polaniec vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Czarni Polaniec 1.7 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Czarni Polaniec vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.