Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)
Expected goals: 2.03 (Belgrano (W) 1.24 · Gimnasia LP (W) 0.79). The model gives 46% home, 31% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Belgrano (W) sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Gimnasia LP (W) arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Belgrano (W) and 0 for Gimnasia LP (W), with 1 draw.
| Belgrano (W) | Draw | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Belgrano (W): 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 3–1–0 Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Belgrano (W) |
| 25/08/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 29/03/24 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 22/04/23 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Belgrano (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
| 6 | Banfield (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | San Luis FC (W) | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Belgrano (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belgrano (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Lanus (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/03 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 46%, draw 31%, Gimnasia LP (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.24 · Gimnasia LP (W) 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.