Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: San Lorenzo (W) vs San Luis FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
San Lorenzo (W)1.68
San Luis FC (W)0.57
1X2
San Lorenzo (W)
Draw
San Luis FC (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
San Luis FC (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo (W)
2–1–0
San Luis FC (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo (W) 1590 · San Luis FC (W) 1522
| San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 25% | 11% |
| Market | 64% | 24% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1590 vs 1522).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo (W) | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo (W) 2–1–0 San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 30/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo (W) | San Luis FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Huracan (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 29/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Lorenzo (W) win (64%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo (W) 64%, draw 25%, San Luis FC (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model expects 2.25 goals (San Lorenzo (W) 1.68 · San Luis FC (W) 0.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.