Football · Argentina Championship Women · 17/07, 20:00

Prediction: Belgrano (W) vs River Plate (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Belgrano (W)1.1

River Plate (W)0.71

1X2

43% 34% 22%

Belgrano (W) Draw River Plate (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDDWWW

River Plate (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Belgrano (W) 2–3–1 River Plate (W) (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Belgrano (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano (W)	River Plate (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.94

Under 21.84

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market odds journey

We have no recommendation published on this match: this is just how the market has moved at the two bookmakers we track. It's market data, not something we recommend.

We only show the match winner: it's the only market both bookmakers offer as exactly the same bet. On the goal line and the handicap each bookmaker uses its own line, so putting them side by side would mean comparing different bets.

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

First time we saw it

1 2.79 X 2.85 2 2.62

The bookmaker moved it 10:02 We saw it 10:03

Last check: 12:03. We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano (W) 2–3–1 River Plate (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	River Plate (W)
24/11/25 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
08/02/25 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
29/11/24 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano (W)
16/07/24 Argentina Championship Women	Belgrano (W)	2-0	River Plate (W)
10/09/23 Argentina Championship Women	River Plate (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Belgrano (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Racing Club (W)	14	11	2	1	33	9	35
2	San Lorenzo (W)	14	11	2	1	27	5	35
3	River Plate (W)	14	9	2	3	29	13	29
4	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	14	6	7	1	20	9	25
5	Boca Juniors (W)	14	6	4	4	16	12	22
6	Belgrano (W)	14	6	4	4	9	8	22
7	Gimnasia LP (W)	14	6	4	4	24	24	22
8	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
9	Banfield (W)	14	6	1	7	14	19	19
10	Social Atletico Television (W)	14	4	5	5	15	16	17
11	San Luis FC (W)	14	3	7	4	15	13	16
12	Huracan (W)	14	3	5	6	8	15	14
13	CA Independiente Women	14	4	1	9	10	23	13
14	Lanus (W)	14	3	3	8	8	22	12
15	Newell's Old Boys (W)	14	1	2	11	3	22	5
16	Union Santa Fe (W)	14	0	3	11	9	32	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano (W)	River Plate (W)
Banfield (W)	1-0 W	4-1 W
Gimnasia LP (W)	2-1 W	2-4 L
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Racing Club (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
San Lorenzo (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Boca Juniors (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Lanus (W)	2-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belgrano (W)

LLWLDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
08/07	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/07	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
26/06	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
19/06	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
14/06	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
23/05	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
16/05	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
09/05	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	2-3	4	3	L
03/05	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	5	6	L

River Plate (W)

WWWDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/07	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
08/07	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
04/07	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	2-4	6	7	L
26/06	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/06	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
14/06	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
25/05	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
21/05	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
15/05	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/05	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	3-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano (W) vs River Plate (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Belgrano (W) 43%, draw 34%, River Plate (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano (W) vs River Plate (W)?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Belgrano (W) 1.1 · River Plate (W) 0.71), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (W) vs River Plate (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.