Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Racing Club (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Racing Club (W)2.65
Union Santa Fe (W)0.65
1X2
Racing Club (W)
Draw
Union Santa Fe (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Union Santa Fe (W)
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club (W) 1576 · Union Santa Fe (W) 1416
| Racing Club (W) | Draw | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 86% | 10% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1576 vs 1416).
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente Women | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Huracan (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Racing Club (W) 83%, draw 12%, Union Santa Fe (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Racing Club (W) 2.65 · Union Santa Fe (W) 0.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.