Football · Argentina Championship Women · 17/07, 20:00
Prediction: CA Independiente Women vs Gimnasia LP (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
CA Independiente Women1.46
Gimnasia LP (W)1.14
1X2
CA Independiente Women
Draw
Gimnasia LP (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente Women
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente Women
2–1–3
Gimnasia LP (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Women 2–1–3 Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/25 Women’s Friendly | Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 11/04/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 28/04/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 03/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 10/09/22 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 9 | 35 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Banfield (W) | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Lanus (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 22 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente Women | Gimnasia LP (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-6 L | 0-0 D |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Independiente Women (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Women vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Independiente Women win (43%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Women 43%, draw 28%, Gimnasia LP (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Women vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model expects 2.6 goals (CA Independiente Women 1.46 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente Women vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.