Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Banfield (W) vs Belgrano (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Banfield (W)1.02
Belgrano (W)0.99
1X2
Banfield (W)
Draw
Belgrano (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Belgrano (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield (W)
1–3–2
Belgrano (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1456 · Belgrano (W) 1501
| Banfield (W) | Draw | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 32% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (W) (rating 1456 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Belgrano (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | Belgrano (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 1–3–2 Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Banfield (W) |
| 07/12/24 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 20/07/24 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 27/08/23 Argentina Championship Women | Belgrano (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 31/03/23 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belgrano (W) |
| 03/07/22 Argentina Primera B Women | Belgrano (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield (W) | Belgrano (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lanus (W) | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Belgrano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 35%, draw 32%, Belgrano (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Banfield (W) 1.02 · Belgrano (W) 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs Belgrano (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.