Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Gimnasia LP (W) vs Huracan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Gimnasia LP (W)1.31
Huracan (W)0.79
1X2
Gimnasia LP (W)
Draw
Huracan (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia LP (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Huracan (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia LP (W)
3–1–2
Huracan (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia LP (W) 1473 · Huracan (W) 1505
| Gimnasia LP (W) | Draw | Huracan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia LP (W) | Huracan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia LP (W) 3–1–2 Huracan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 Women’s Friendly | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Huracan (W) |
| 13/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Huracan (W) |
| 08/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 20/04/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Huracan (W) |
| 15/10/23 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
| 29/04/23 Argentina Championship Women | Huracan (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia LP (W) | Huracan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Huracan (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Huracan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 29/06 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/05 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia LP (W) vs Huracan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia LP (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Gimnasia LP (W) 48%, draw 30%, Huracan (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia LP (W) vs Huracan (W)?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Gimnasia LP (W) 1.31 · Huracan (W) 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia LP (W) vs Huracan (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.