Prediction: Lanus (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Expected goals: 2.01 (Lanus (W) 0.77 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1.25). The model gives 23% home, 30% draw, 47% away. Under 2.25 goals (56%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Lanus (W) sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Ferro Carril Oeste (W) arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Lanus (W) won 2 and Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1.
| Lanus (W) | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 32% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lanus (W): 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanus (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus (W) 2–0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/23 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lanus (W) |
| 27/03/23 Argentina Championship Women | Lanus (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 08/05/22 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Lanus (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
| 6 | Banfield (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | San Luis FC (W) | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Belgrano (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lanus (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Banfield (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/03 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanus (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferro Carril Oeste (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Lanus (W) 23%, draw 30%, Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Lanus (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Lanus (W) 0.77 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanus (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.