Prediction: CA Independiente Women vs Racing Club (W)
Expected goals: 2.58 (CA Independiente Women 0.57 · Racing Club (W) 2.01). The model gives 9% home, 19% draw, 71% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, CA Independiente Women is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Racing Club (W) 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for CA Independiente Women and 3 for Racing Club (W), with 2 draws.
| CA Independiente Women | Draw | Racing Club (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 21% | 71% |
| Market | 10% | 18% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1458 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Racing Club (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente Women | Racing Club (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente Women 1–2–3 Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 21/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 15/09/23 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 13/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
| 29/04/22 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 | River Plate (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
| 6 | Banfield (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | San Luis FC (W) | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 10 | Belgrano (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | Lanus (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente Women | Racing Club (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Huracan (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | L |
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente Women vs Racing Club (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club (W) win (71%). Probabilities: CA Independiente Women 9%, draw 19%, Racing Club (W) 71%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente Women vs Racing Club (W)?
The model expects 2.58 goals (CA Independiente Women 0.57 · Racing Club (W) 2.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente Women vs Racing Club (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.