Football · Spain Primera Women · 20/09, 12:00
Prediction: Tenerife (W) vs Sevilla (W)
Team pages: Tenerife (W) · Sevilla (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Tenerife (W)1.29
Sevilla (W)0.86
1X2
Tenerife (W)
Draw
Sevilla (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tenerife (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Sevilla (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tenerife (W)
6–0
Sevilla (W)
(6 last)
- Tenerife (W)1-0Sevilla (W)
- Tenerife (W)3-0Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)1-2Tenerife (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-4Tenerife (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-2Tenerife (W)
- Tenerife (W)4-1Sevilla (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tenerife (W) 1534 · Sevilla (W) 1438
| Tenerife (W) | Draw | Sevilla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tenerife (W) (rating 1534 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Tenerife (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tenerife (W) | Sevilla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife (W) 6–0–0 Sevilla (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Women’s Friendly | Tenerife (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 26/04/26 Spain Primera Women | Tenerife (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 20/12/25 Spain Copa De La Reina | Sevilla (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tenerife (W) |
| 06/09/25 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Tenerife (W) |
| 02/02/25 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tenerife (W) |
| 14/09/24 Spain Primera Women | Tenerife (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Sevilla (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Madrid CFF (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Madrid (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Badalona (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Logrono United (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | CD Alaves (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Eibar (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Granada (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Sevilla (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Tenerife (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Espanyol (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tenerife (W) | Sevilla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Barcelona (W) | 0-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Granada (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Eibar (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Madrid CFF (W) | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tenerife (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/03 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Sevilla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tenerife (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tenerife (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Tenerife (W) 47%, draw 29%, Sevilla (W) 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tenerife (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Tenerife (W) 1.29 · Sevilla (W) 0.86), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tenerife (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.