Football · Spain Primera Women · 27/09, 18:00

Prediction: Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Espanyol (W)

Team pages: Deportivo A Coruna (W) · Espanyol (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Deportivo A Coruna (W)1.28

Espanyol (W)0.97

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Deportivo A Coruna (W) Draw Espanyol (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo A Coruna (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Espanyol (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDLLDW

Head-to-head

Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1–3–2 Espanyol (W) (6 last)

Deportivo A Coruna (W)2-2Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)1-1Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Espanyol (W)1-1Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)0-1Espanyol (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)2-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)1-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1475 · Espanyol (W) 1482

	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Draw	Espanyol (W)
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Espanyol (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Espanyol (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.25

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	2.80 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.59 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +12’	2.25	3.20	2.80
18:48 +29’	2.05▼	3.25▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +10’	2.03	3.00	3.51
16:42 +156’	2.05▲	3.06▲	3.59▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1–3–2 Espanyol (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Espanyol (W)
06/09/25 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
02/03/25 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
17/11/24 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Espanyol (W)
27/01/24 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Espanyol (W)
15/10/23 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Espanyol (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	4	4	0	0	19	2	12
2	Real Madrid (W)	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	Madrid CFF (W)	4	3	0	1	8	7	9
4	Athletic Bilbao (W)	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
4	FC Badalona (W)	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	Eibar (W)	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
7	Logrono United (W)	4	2	0	2	4	3	6
8	Atletico Madrid (W)	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	Sevilla (W)	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
10	CD Alaves (W)	4	2	0	2	3	7	6
11	Espanyol (W)	4	1	1	2	7	5	4
12	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	4	1	1	2	3	3	4
13	Granada (W)	4	1	0	3	4	9	3
14	Real Sociedad (W)	4	0	2	2	3	6	2
15	Tenerife (W)	4	0	2	2	2	9	2
16	Valencia (W)	4	0	0	4	3	10	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Espanyol (W)
Granada (W)	3-0 W	0-2 L
Sevilla (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Athletic Bilbao (W)	1-0 W	2-2 D
Alhama CF (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo A Coruna (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo A Coruna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/08	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
31/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/05	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
26/04	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-1	2-2	8	3	D
05/04	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Espanyol (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	3-1	5-1	6	2	W
12/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
05/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
31/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/05	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
01/05	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
22/04	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-4	3	3	L
04/04	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo A Coruna (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo A Coruna (W) 43%, draw 29%, Espanyol (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1.28 · Espanyol (W) 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.