Football · Spain Primera Women · 27/09, 16:00
Prediction: Sevilla (W) vs Eibar (W)
Team pages: Sevilla (W) · Eibar (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Sevilla (W)1.27
Eibar (W)0.81
1X2
Sevilla (W)
Draw
Eibar (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sevilla (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Eibar (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sevilla (W)
3–1–2
Eibar (W)
(6 last)
- Sevilla (W)0-0Eibar (W)
- Eibar (W)0-1Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)1-3Eibar (W)
- Eibar (W)0-3Sevilla (W)
- Eibar (W)3-0Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)3-0Eibar (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sevilla (W) 1483 · Eibar (W) 1523
| Sevilla (W) | Draw | Eibar (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (W) (rating 1483 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Sevilla (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sevilla (W) | Eibar (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.2 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla (W) 3–1–2 Eibar (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eibar (W) |
| 31/08/25 Spain Primera Women | Eibar (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sevilla (W) |
| 18/05/25 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Eibar (W) |
| 11/01/25 Spain Primera Women | Eibar (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Sevilla (W) |
| 13/04/24 Spain Primera Women | Eibar (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 28/01/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Eibar (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Madrid CFF (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Badalona (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Eibar (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Logrono United (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Sevilla (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | CD Alaves (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Espanyol (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Granada (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Tenerife (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sevilla (W) | Eibar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Espanyol (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Logrono United (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Eibar (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sevilla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Eibar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sevilla (W) vs Eibar (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sevilla (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Sevilla (W) 47%, draw 29%, Eibar (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla (W) vs Eibar (W)?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Sevilla (W) 1.27 · Eibar (W) 0.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sevilla (W) vs Eibar (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.