Football · Spain Primera Women · 26/09, 12:00
Prediction: FC Badalona (W) vs Granada (W)
Team pages: FC Badalona (W) · Granada (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
FC Badalona (W)1.69
Granada (W)1.22
1X2
FC Badalona (W)
Draw
Granada (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Badalona (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Granada (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Badalona (W)
2–1–3
Granada (W)
(6 last)
- FC Badalona (W)0-4Granada (W)
- FC Badalona (W)1-0Granada (W)
- Granada (W)0-2FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-2Granada (W)
- Granada (W)1-1FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)1-2Granada (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Badalona (W) 1496 · Granada (W) 1469
| FC Badalona (W) | Draw | Granada (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Granada (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Badalona (W) | Granada (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Badalona (W) 2–1–3 Granada (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Granada (W) |
| 20/12/25 Spain Copa De La Reina | FC Badalona (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Granada (W) |
| 07/09/25 Spain Primera Women | Granada (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 08/02/25 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Granada (W) |
| 16/11/24 Spain Primera Women | Granada (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 09/03/24 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Granada (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Madrid CFF (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Badalona (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Eibar (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Logrono United (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Sevilla (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | CD Alaves (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Espanyol (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Granada (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Tenerife (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Badalona (W) | Granada (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (W) | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Espanyol (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Granada (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Badalona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
Granada (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Badalona (W) vs Granada (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Badalona (W) win (47%). Probabilities: FC Badalona (W) 47%, draw 26%, Granada (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Badalona (W) vs Granada (W)?
The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Badalona (W) 1.69 · Granada (W) 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Badalona (W) vs Granada (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.