Football · Spain Primera Women · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: Granada (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Team pages: Granada (W) · Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Granada (W)1.31

Deportivo A Coruna (W)0.99

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Granada (W) Draw Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Granada (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo A Coruna (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Granada (W) 4–2 Deportivo A Coruna (W) (6 last)

Granada (W)1-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)2-0Granada (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-2Granada (W)
Granada (W)5-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-0Granada (W)
Granada (W)2-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Granada (W) 1494 · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1456

	Granada (W)	Draw	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Our model	43%	31%	27%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Granada (W): 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Granada (W)	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	0.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:55 +3’	2.05	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Granada (W) 4–0–2 Deportivo A Coruna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
06/12/25 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Granada (W)
26/04/25 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Granada (W)
07/12/24 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
10/06/23 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Granada (W)
03/06/23 Spain Primera Federacion Women	Granada (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	4	4	0	0	19	2	12
2	Madrid CFF (W)	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
3	Athletic Bilbao (W)	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	Real Madrid (W)	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	FC Badalona (W)	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
6	Logrono United (W)	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	CD Alaves (W)	4	2	0	2	3	7	6
8	Eibar (W)	3	1	1	1	2	4	4
9	Atletico Madrid (W)	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
10	Granada (W)	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
11	Sevilla (W)	3	1	0	2	1	5	3
12	Tenerife (W)	3	0	2	1	1	6	2
13	Espanyol (W)	3	0	1	2	2	4	1
14	Real Sociedad (W)	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
15	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	3	0	1	2	0	3	1
16	Valencia (W)	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Granada (W)	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Real Sociedad (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Real Madrid (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Tenerife (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Athletic Bilbao (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Espanyol (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Sevilla (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Granada (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Granada (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
07/09	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	2-2	3-2	3	1	W
29/08	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
31/05	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
26/05	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-4	3	4	L
09/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
01/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
25/04	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
04/04	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/03	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Deportivo A Coruna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/08	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
31/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/05	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
26/04	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-1	2-2	8	3	D
05/04	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
28/03	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	2-1	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Granada (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Granada (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Granada (W) 43%, draw 29%, Deportivo A Coruna (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Granada (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Granada (W) 1.31 · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Granada (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.