Football · Spain Primera Women · 04/10, 12:00

Prediction: Granada (W) vs Eibar (W)

Team pages: Granada (W) · Eibar (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Granada (W)1.44

Eibar (W)0.81

1X2

51% 28% 20%

Granada (W) Draw Eibar (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Granada (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWLLW

Eibar (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Granada (W) 4–1–1 Eibar (W) (6 last)

Eibar (W)0-2Granada (W)
Granada (W)3-1Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)0-0Granada (W)
Granada (W)2-0Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)0-2Granada (W)
Granada (W)1-2Eibar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Granada (W) 1481 · Eibar (W) 1528

	Granada (W)	Draw	Eibar (W)
Our model	51%	29%	20%
Market	51%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (W) (rating 1481 vs 1528).
H2H favours Granada (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Granada (W)	Eibar (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.7	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.25

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	3.10 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	3.60 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +22’	1.95	3.10	3.60
22:56 +4’	1.75▼	3.25▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Granada (W) 4–1–1 Eibar (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Granada (W)
20/09/25 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	3-1 HT 0-1	Eibar (W)
25/01/25 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Granada (W)
21/09/24 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Eibar (W)
15/06/24 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Granada (W)
30/09/23 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Eibar (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	5	5	0	0	21	2	15
2	Real Madrid (W)	5	4	1	0	13	6	13
3	Madrid CFF (W)	5	4	0	1	9	7	12
4	Athletic Bilbao (W)	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	Eibar (W)	5	3	1	1	4	4	10
6	FC Badalona (W)	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
7	Logrono United (W)	5	2	0	3	4	5	6
8	Atletico Madrid (W)	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
9	Sevilla (W)	5	2	0	3	4	7	6
10	Granada (W)	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
11	CD Alaves (W)	5	2	0	3	3	8	6
12	Espanyol (W)	5	1	2	2	8	6	5
13	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	5	1	2	2	4	4	5
14	Tenerife (W)	5	1	2	2	4	10	5
15	Real Sociedad (W)	5	0	2	3	6	11	2
16	Valencia (W)	5	0	0	5	4	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Granada (W)	Eibar (W)
FC Badalona (W)	1-0 W	1-4 L
Real Madrid (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Athletic Bilbao (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Granada (W)

WDLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
13/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
07/09	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	2-2	3-2	3	1	W
29/08	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
31/05	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
26/05	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-4	3	4	L
09/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
01/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
25/04	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Eibar (W)

WLWDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
20/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
13/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-4	1	0	L
06/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
29/08	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
31/05	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
26/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-4	2	1	L
25/04	Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Granada (W) vs Eibar (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Granada (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Granada (W) 51%, draw 28%, Eibar (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Granada (W) vs Eibar (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Granada (W) 1.44 · Eibar (W) 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Granada (W) vs Eibar (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.