Football · Spain Primera Women · 03/10, 12:00
Prediction: Sevilla (W) vs FC Badalona (W)
Team pages: Sevilla (W) · FC Badalona (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Sevilla (W)1.14
FC Badalona (W)1.41
1X2
Sevilla (W)
Draw
FC Badalona (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sevilla (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Badalona (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sevilla (W)
2–2–2
FC Badalona (W)
(6 last)
- Sevilla (W)1-5FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-0Sevilla (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-0Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-1FC Badalona (W)
- Sevilla (W)3-0FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-4Sevilla (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sevilla (W) 1459 · FC Badalona (W) 1501
| Sevilla (W) | Draw | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Badalona (W) (rating 1459 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sevilla (W) | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 1.1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla (W) 2–2–2 FC Badalona (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 1-5 HT 1-2 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 01/11/25 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 30/03/25 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 13/10/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 16/03/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 14/01/24 Spain Copa De La Reina | FC Badalona (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Sevilla (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Madrid CFF (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Eibar (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Badalona (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Logrono United (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | Sevilla (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Granada (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | CD Alaves (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Espanyol (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Tenerife (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sevilla (W) | FC Badalona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar (W) | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Espanyol (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Badalona (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sevilla (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
FC Badalona (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sevilla (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Badalona (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Sevilla (W) 30%, draw 28%, FC Badalona (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Sevilla (W) 1.14 · FC Badalona (W) 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sevilla (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.