Football · Spain Primera Women · 03/10, 16:00
Prediction: Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)
Team pages: Deportivo A Coruna (W) · Atletico Madrid (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Deportivo A Coruna (W)0.99
Atletico Madrid (W)1.68
1X2
Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Draw
Atletico Madrid (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo A Coruna (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Madrid (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo A Coruna (W)
0–3–3
Atletico Madrid (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico Madrid (W)2-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
- Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-1Atletico Madrid (W)
- Deportivo A Coruna (W)0-0Atletico Madrid (W)
- Atletico Madrid (W)2-1Deportivo A Coruna (W)
- Atletico Madrid (W)1-1Deportivo A Coruna (W)
- Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-8Atletico Madrid (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1494 · Atletico Madrid (W) 1498
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | Draw | Atletico Madrid (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Madrid (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | Atletico Madrid (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 0–3–3 Atletico Madrid (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Spain Primera Women | Atletico Madrid (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) |
| 19/10/25 Spain Primera Women | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Madrid (W) |
| 16/02/25 Spain Primera Women | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Madrid (W) |
| 15/09/24 Spain Primera Women | Atletico Madrid (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) |
| 19/05/21 Spain Primera Women | Atletico Madrid (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) |
| 22/11/20 Spain Primera Women | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 1-8 HT 0-3 | Atletico Madrid (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Madrid CFF (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Eibar (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Badalona (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Logrono United (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | Sevilla (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Granada (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | CD Alaves (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Espanyol (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Tenerife (W) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | Atletico Madrid (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Tenerife (W) | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Real Sociedad (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo A Coruna (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo A Coruna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
Atletico Madrid (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Madrid (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Deportivo A Coruna (W) 22%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Deportivo A Coruna (W) 0.99 · Atletico Madrid (W) 1.68), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Atletico Madrid (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.