Football · Coppa Italia · 16/08, 20:45
Prediction: Verona vs Virtus Entella
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Verona1.74
Virtus Entella0.94
1X2
Verona
Draw
Virtus Entella
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Verona
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Virtus Entella
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verona
2–0
Virtus Entella
(2 last)
- Virtus Entella1-2Verona
- Verona1-0Virtus Entella
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verona 1542 · Virtus Entella 1492
| Verona | Draw | Virtus Entella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Verona (rating 1542 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Verona: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Verona | Virtus Entella | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verona 2–0–0 Virtus Entella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/17 Italy Serie B | Virtus Entella | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Verona |
| 19/12/16 Italy Serie B | Verona | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Virtus Entella |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lecco Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Virtus Verona Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/07 | Asd Rovereto Club Friendly List |
6-1 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | FC Rovereto Europe Friendlies |
6-1 | 8-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
Virtus Entella
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Carrarese Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Novara Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Empoli Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Empoli Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/04 | Mantova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verona vs Virtus Entella?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Verona win (56%). Probabilities: Verona 56%, draw 25%, Virtus Entella 20%.
How many goals are expected in Verona vs Virtus Entella?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Verona 1.74 · Virtus Entella 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Verona vs Virtus Entella?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.