Prediction: Lazio vs Mantova
- Lazio4-0Mantova
| Lazio | Draw | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1571 vs 1529).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lazio | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio 1–0–0 Mantova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Lazio | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Mantova |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lazio | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Avellino | 6-3 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lazio (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lazio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Frosinone Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/08 | AS Ostia Mare Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Ascoli Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Avellino Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 6-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Virtus Flaminia Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/07 | Lazio U20 Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Inter Milan Coppa Italia |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | AC Carpi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/08 | Legnago Salus Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Alcione Milano Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lazio vs Mantova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio win (72%). Probabilities: Lazio 72%, draw 18%, Mantova 10%.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Mantova?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Lazio 2.61 · Mantova 0.95), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Mantova?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.