Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 14/07, 20:00
Prediction: Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Grindavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.86
Grindavik1.5
1X2
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Draw
Grindavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Grindavik
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
3–2–1
Grindavik
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1523 · Grindavik 1459
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | Draw | Grindavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes (rating 1523 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | Grindavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.6 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 3–2–1 Grindavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Grindavik |
| 20/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Grindavik | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 09/02/24 Iceland League Cup | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Grindavik |
| 16/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Grindavik |
| 12/05/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Grindavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes |
| 17/09/22 Iceland 1 Deild | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Grindavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
| 5 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Njardvik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 12 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | Grindavik |
|---|---|---|
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| HK Kopavogur | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Volsungur | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Njardvik | 2-1 W | 4-5 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| IF Vestri | 5-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Afturelding | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Grotta Seltjarnarnes (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grotta Seltjarnarnes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/06 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 5-3 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Grindavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
3-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Grindavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grotta Seltjarnarnes win (45%). Probabilities: Grotta Seltjarnarnes 45%, draw 25%, Grindavik 30%.
How many goals are expected in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Grindavik?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1.86 · Grindavik 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Grindavik?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.